Last Friday I gave out a few predictions on win totals for teams in the SEC and the Big Ten. Today I'll go over teams from 3 other BCS conferences, the ACC, Big 12 and Pac 12. It's hard to get used to saying Pac 12, but only a matter of time till it's Pac 16 anyway. All of today's numbers will be from bodog.com unless otherwise stated. First up is Florida State, with a projected win total of 10 and plus money on the over. With only 8 "locks" for wins on the schedule, it's hard to take the 'Noles over this number. Obviously a huge game with Oklahoma in Tallahassee, but also games at Clemson and at Florida, along with Miami(FL) at home. Not one of these games is a guaranteed win and FSU would have to split the four just to get you a push. I hate paying the juice on prop bets, but would have to go under. Clemson comes in at 7 wins this year with the over a favorite. With 14 starters back and a very manageable schedule, getting over 7 shouldn't be a problem. I'm counting as wins games against Troy, Wofford, Boston College, Maryland, North Carolina, Wake Forest and N.C. State. That is 7 right there, with other winnable games hosting Auburn and at Georgia Tech. Gaining at least a push should be no issue. Virginia Tech is the projected winner of the ACC this season and somewhat of a sleeper pick for a BCS title. The Hokies total for wins is set at 10 with a -150 on the over. A 12 win regular season is very possible for Tech as their only "tough" games with Clemson and Miami(FL) come at home. East Carolina is the toughest non conference foe, so look for the Hokies to go over 10. Miami(FL) has a total at 8 wins, with equal payout on both over and under. This seems to be the perfect number, but I like over. Despite a new coach, this team has talent. The Canes have 4 very tough games, three of those on the road. They should win the other 8 on their schedule to get the push. I am even expecting them to beat Ohio State, which should get you over.
Turning our attention to the Big 12, let's start with a popular pick to win the BCS title, Oklahoma. Obviously this team is loaded, which is why the total is at ten with the over being the favorite. Now that the Big 12 only has 10 teams, everyone plays one another. This means OU has to play Texas A&M, Oklahoma State and Texas, along with adding a game at Florida State from the non conference side. I am actually leaning toward under on this bet. The Sooners always seem to give one game away and I would be surprised if they run the table against those 4 tough opponents. Plus I like that plus money on under with 10 being a push. Now let's look at Texas A&M, a team getting alot of preseason buzz as a sleeper pick. Win total is only 8.5 but you are paying alot of juice on the over, currently -175. Despite annually being an under achiever, it's hard not to go over with the Aggies. Looking at the schedule, 8 wins seems like a lock, so then you would need just one win against Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Oklahoma or Texas. Two of those games are at home and one is a neutral field game. I wouldn't personally lay the money, but over does look good. Next up is Texas and their total is also 8.5 with the under playing the favorite. I expect a bounce back year for the Longhorns this season and would go over. I see wins against Rice, BYU, UCLA, Iowa State, Kansas, Texas Tech, Kansas State and Baylor. Now I only need 1 win from games with OU, OSU at home, at Missouri and at A&M. I like my chances and the plus money. Finally, Oklahoma State is another sleeper team from the Big 12 with nearly their entire offense back. They do lose their offensive coordinator to West Virginia, but this team will put up tons of points. Question comes on defense, and it's a big question. Currently sitting at 8 wins with bodog, I have seen other places putting them at 8.5. Since bodog is -220 on the over, 8.5 is the correct number and what I'll use here. The Cowboys toughest out of conference game is hosting Arizona, who they hammered in the bowl game last season. I like the over for OSU, but it won't be easy. This team will let fans down once again in big games, but still wins 9.
Finally today, we look at the new and improved Pac 12. First up is Oregon, coming off an appearance in the BCS title game. The marquee players are back for the Ducks, but that's about it. There has been lots of controversy in and around this program as well. Sitting at 9.5 with over the favorite, I would have to go over only because they get USC and Oregon State at home to end the year. Stanford was a rising program with Harbaugh at the helm, so this will be an interesting year for the Cardinal. A new coach but also a Heisman candidate at quarterback. The over is a heavy favorite for the total of 8.5. I'm thinking the heavy losses along the offensive line will get worked out by the time the schedule gets tough so would have to play over. As usual, USC is an interesting situation. Still dealing with the loss of scholarships, this team isn't as deep as usual, but has plenty of talent. With Barkley back at QB the offense should be more than adequate. Sitting with a total of 7.5, the over is heavily favored. I see wins over Minnesota, Utah, Syracuse, Arizona, at Colorado, Washington and UCLA. That gets them to 7, so can the Trojans get one more against either Arizona State, Cal, Notre Dame, Stanford or Oregon. Only one of those games is at home, but I'm betting yes and going over. And finally, let's end with a newcomer to the Pac 12, Utah. Courtesy of Leroy's, the win total is 7.5 with the over at +120. I am expecting Utah, with 7 starters back on offense, to surprise teams in the conference and get over this number. I realize it won't be easy, but teams will find it tough to play at Utah and they play a few winnable games on the road.
We are doing well with the twitter picks each day, now sitting at 20-15 overall. Today we are going with the Cubs as they play the Braves. I like Zambrano for some reason, and getting +130 is hard to pass up. The Cubs bats also seem to be waking up now that it's too late to make a run. That's fine by me, I don't care about them winning, just us! Remember to follow daily on twitter, handle vegasobie. Good luck, and remember, never bet what you can't afford to lose.
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