My insights and rants on the world of sports, including picks to win from a Vegas viewpoint.
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
The Not So Cat Friendly Bowl
If you are reading this, you have most likely made the decision to fade me, and who could blame you. I have yet to win a bowl game this season. One thing I am noticing is that teams with coaches rumored to be moving to bigger positions have struggled(Wyoming and FIU). Now we have TCU playing Louisiana Tech in the San Diego Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl. The Horned Frogs opened as a 12.5 point favorite which seemed a bit too high to me. Now the line around town is at 9.5, which still seems a bit high. I would love to see if it climbs back to 10 tomorrow, but will take the points either way. The Bulldogs have been undervalued all season long, thus their 10-2 record ATS. In this game, they have an opportunity to prove themselves on the national stage against a very well respected program that is going into the Big 12 next season. For TCU, the motivation will be a bit harder to come by. A team that played in the Rose Bowl last season against a Big Ten team, now must get up to play a WAC team. They also probably dealt with a bit of a hangover from not climbing high enough in the BCS to play in one of those fraudulent games. On paper these teams are relatively even, with TCU looking a bit better. But as we are seeing in this years bowl games, that may not matter much. I'm gonna ride the team with more motivation in this game, despite the rumors Sonny Dykes is moving on to Houston. Good luck, and remember, never bet what you can't afford to lose.
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