Cabinet Slamming on Sports: Rebound Week

No, the title of this post does not refer to the upcoming NBA season. It is referring to my awful picks on the first three bowl games of this season. Out of the 5 picks/leans I had in my last post, only one of them hit, and that was on a game ending field goal. But there are still plenty of games and opportunities to make money, so no point in looking back except to learn from mistakes.

First game this week is the Beef 'O Brady Bowl with Florida International taking on Marshall. The Golden Panthers are currently a 4 point favorite and rightfully so. They are the better team on paper and on the field. Typically you would say C-USA is superior to the Sun Belt, and while that may be true, I don't think the gap is as wide as most people believe. In fact, FIU played a C-USA team this year and came out on top, beating Central Florida 17 to 10. This is the same UCF team that beat Marshall 16 to 6. Now, comparing like opponents is no way to pick a game, but it at least provides a starting point. Bottom line for me in this game is that the better team will also most likely be the more motivated team with a slight home field advantage. I'll lay the 4 points all day in that situation. As for the total, it has come down to 48 from the opening line of 51, but I like the OVER. The speed of FIU on the turf will allow them to put points up and Marshall will be forced to score a few to keep it close. The most interesting aspect of this "low tier" bowl game is that both of these teams beat Louisville at Louisville, one of the co-champs of the BCS status Big East Conference. One more point that proves what a joke the post season for college football is.